UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick Pennsylvania
  
Pennsylvania          
W-L: ( 2- 9) PR = 91.9304

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 0- 2 221 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 1- 2 222 A Texas A&M SEC (40-18, 99.0) 1- 7 310 H Delaware CUSA (20-30, 92.1) 3- 5 313 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 3-17 314 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 1- 0 315 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 7- 8 407 A Stony Brook CA (22-27, 92.5) 13- 5 421 H Saint Joseph's A10 ( 3- 5, 89.7) 2- 8 515 A William & Mary CA (20-30, 91.5) 4- 5 516 A Columbia IVY ( 4-11, 91.4) 3- 6

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Notre Dame              0- 2      -2    -3           1.29
   221 A Texas A&M               1- 2      -1    -8    +++    6.74
   222 A Texas A&M               1- 7      -6    -8           1.74
   310 H Delaware                3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.47
   313 A East Carolina           3-17     -14    -5    ---   -8.52
   315 A East Carolina           7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.48
   407 A Stony Brook            13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.21
   421 H Saint Joseph's          2- 8      -6     3    ---   -8.89
   515 A William & Mary          4- 5      -1     0          -0.73
   516 A Columbia                3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A East Carolina           3-17     -14    -5    ---   -8.52
   421 H Saint Joseph's          2- 8      -6     3    ---   -8.89
   310 H Delaware                3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.47
   516 A Columbia                3- 6      -3     0    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Texas A&M               1- 2      -1    -8    +++    6.74
   407 A Stony Brook            13- 5       8    -1    +++    9.21
   315 A East Carolina           7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.48

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 H Notre Dame      (30-22, 95.9)     0- 2       -4.01      14.42      -0.68         2.63            -6.16
   3 A Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     1- 2       -0.91      17.52       0.68         2.63            -0.30
   3 A Texas A&M       (40-18, 99.0)     1- 7       -0.91      17.52       0.68         2.63            -0.30
   3 H Delaware        (20-30, 92.1)     3- 5       -7.76      10.67      -0.68         2.63           -11.09
   3 A East Carolina   (36-25, 96.7)     3-17       -3.16      15.26       0.68         2.63            -3.27
   3 A East Carolina   (36-25, 96.7)     1- 0       -3.16      15.26       0.68         2.63            83.81
   3 A East Carolina   (36-25, 96.7)     7- 8       -3.16      15.26       0.68         2.63            -3.27
   3 A Stony Brook     (22-27, 92.5)    13- 5       -7.44      10.99       0.68         2.63            61.32
   3 H Saint Joseph's  ( 3- 5, 89.7)     2- 8      -10.19       8.24      -0.68         2.63           -14.28
   3 A William & Mary  (20-30, 91.5)     4- 5       -8.38      10.05       0.68         2.63           -10.13
   3 A Columbia        ( 4-11, 91.4)     3- 6       -8.49       9.94       0.68         2.63           -10.27
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        86.07

winning pts = 145.1320 losing points = -59.0664

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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